Categories
Jul. 17th, 2008 06:00 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
stoutfellowPoll-junkie that I am, I've been keeping an eye on Rasmussen's electoral college projections. There's something small that nonetheless grates on me.
Rasmussen groups the states into seven categories: "Safe GOP", "Likely GOP", "Leans GOP", "Toss-Up", and then back up to "Safe Dem". In their headlines for that page, they give the total electoral votes of "Safe" and "Likely" states for each party, the electoral votes of the "Toss-Up" states - and the total electoral votes of the leaners. (Thus, e.g., "Democrats 210 Republicans 165 Leaners 145 Toss-Up 18".)
What earthly sense does it make to lump "Leans GOP" together with "Leans Dem" without also including the "Toss-Up" states? What useful quantity does it measure?
Is a puzzlement.
Rasmussen groups the states into seven categories: "Safe GOP", "Likely GOP", "Leans GOP", "Toss-Up", and then back up to "Safe Dem". In their headlines for that page, they give the total electoral votes of "Safe" and "Likely" states for each party, the electoral votes of the "Toss-Up" states - and the total electoral votes of the leaners. (Thus, e.g., "Democrats 210 Republicans 165 Leaners 145 Toss-Up 18".)
What earthly sense does it make to lump "Leans GOP" together with "Leans Dem" without also including the "Toss-Up" states? What useful quantity does it measure?
Is a puzzlement.
